The Oscar machine can’t stop, won’t stop. I have tried to fend it off but given that Cannes ended last month and I last updated my Oscar predictions in April, it was time to illuminate you all with some new Oscar predictions and analysis. So here you go. I ranked my Oscar predictions this time to make it more fun.

Thoughts

–Foxcatcher had such a great reception at Cannes and Bennett Miller took home the director’s prize. Since it’s the movie with the heat right now I have moved it into first place in several categories. However, it was very difficult to figure out thwere to place the actors, and that could spell trouble come Oscar time. Channing Tatum and Steve Carell got the lionsshare of the praise, but who is going lead? Will they campaign colead? In trios, it always seems like one man gets left out, which is why Tatum isn’t in the field just yet.

-Speaking of Cannes, Mike Leigh‘s Mr. Turner had a great showing, meaning him and Timothy Spall are now on the table for nominations, as well as the film. Xavier Dolan also had a rapturous reception with his film Mommy. I want to add him somewhere but his movie always have weird as hell release dates, will he be in competition?

-Furthering that, don’t you think we are due for a lone director type slot? Ever since we went to the sliding scale, the Academy often looks at the BP slot as the way to honor the film where the dirctor’s normally would. But the director’s branch has always been adventurous and they’ll have several auteur types to reward. My guess? It’ll be Jean-Marc Valee, who narrowly missed for Dallas Buyers Club last year.

-In blockbuster news, did y’all see that trailer for Interstellar? Man, it had me tearing up in the theater and the visuals looked pretty great. Could this land Christopher Nolan a Best Director nod or maybe even more?

-The summer blockbuster season has gotten off to an…interesting start. There are several films that could get nominations, but in totality the crop has been underwhelming. Maybe Edge of Tomorrow and the rest of the summer can pick up the slack?

Best Picture

  1. Foxcatcher
  2. Unbroken
  3. Interstellar
  4. Gone Girl
  5. Fury
  6. Boyhood
  7. Into the Woods
  8. Mr. Turner
  9. Birdman

Dropped: Kill the Messenger, Trash

Best Director

  1. Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher
  2. Angelina Jolie, Unbroken
  3. David Fincher, Gone Girl
  4. Christopher Nolan, Interstellar
  5. Jean-Marc Valee, Wild

Dropped: Stephen Daldry, Trash

Best Actor

  1. Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
  2. Timothy Spall, Mr. Turner
  3. Michael Keaton, Birdman
  4. Brad Pitt, Fury
  5. Jeremy Renner, Kill the Messenger

Dropped: Christoph Waltz, Big Eyes

Best Actress

  1. Amy Adams, Big Eyes
  2. Hilary Swank, The Homesman
  3. Michelle Williams, Suite française
  4. Meryl Streep, Into the Woods
  5. Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Dropped: Jessica Chastain, Miss Julie

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Emily Blunt, Into the Woods
  2. Anna Kendrick, Into the Woods
  3. Rosemund Pike, Gone Girl
  4. Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
  5. Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year

Dropped: Hailee Steinfeld, The Homesman, Kristen Scott Thomas, Suite française

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
  2. J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
  3. Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel
  4. James Franco, True Story
  5. Takamasa Ishihara, Unbroken

Dropped: James Corden, Into the Woods

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Mr. Turner
  2. Interstellar
  3. Boyhood
  4. Birdman
  5. Big Eyes

Dropped: Foxcatcher, Fury

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Foxcatcher
  2. Unbroken
  3. Gone Girl
  4. Inherent Vice
  5. Wild

Dropped: Kill the Messenger, Suite française

Best Animated Feature

  1. The Lego Movie
  2. The Boxtrolls
  3. How to Train Your Dragon 2
  4. Big Hero 6
  5. The Book of Life

Film Editing

  1. Interstellar
  2. Unbroken
  3. Foxcatcher
  4. Fury
  5. Gone Girl

Dropped: Boyhood

Production Design

  1. Into the Woods
  2. Interstellar
  3. Unbroken
  4. Fury
  5. The Grand Budapest Hotel

Dropped: Maleficent

Cinematography

  1. Unbroken
  2. Interstellar
  3. Inherent Vice
  4. Foxcatcher
  5. Fury

Costume Design

  1. Into the Woods
  2. Mr. Turner
  3. Maleficent
  4. Suite française
  5. Exodus: Gods and Kings

Dropped: Jersey Boys

Makeup and Hairstyling

  1. Foxcatcher
  2. Into the Woods
  3. Unbroken

Dropped: Jupiter Ascending

Visual Effects

  1. Interstellar
  2. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
  3. Godzilla
  4. The Guardians of the Galaxy
  5. Edge of Tomorrow

Dropped: Captain America: The Winter Soldier

Sound Editing

  1. Interstellar
  2. Godzilla
  3. Into the Woods
  4. Fury
  5. Unbroken

Sound Mixing

  1. Interstellar
  2. Into the Woods
  3. Fury
  4. Godzilla
  5. Unbroken

Original Score

  1. Unbroken
  2. Interstellar
  3. Big Eyes
  4. Fury
  5. Gone Girl