Free thoughts on the proceeds of the awards season with new Oscar predictions!
-You have likely heard my thoughts on Call Me By Your Name if you’re reading this but I cannot for the life of me understand why Armie Hammer for Supporting Actor is gaining steam when Michael is right there. With the Indie Spirits nominating Hammer in Supporting Male performance, I fear he may play the Mila Kunis to Sthulbarg’s Barbra Hershey, aka hot young things who gets the share of the notice when the parental character is more interesting and then neither get Oscar nominated.
-The more I think about this season, the more I think that the only thing standing in the way of Dunkirk winning it all is whether Rylance gets that Supporting Actor nomination I have him predicted for. The trend over the years is that the movie wins an acting award, screenplay, and picture. I don’t think Rylance will win, but getting an acting nomination will help.
-Best Actress is a blood bath this year, which is great for moviegoers cause there’s so much great actressing going on.
Picture
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Florida Project
Get Out
Lady Bird
Mudbound
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri
Dropped: Downsizing, Wonder Wheel
Director
Luca Gaudagnino, Call Me By Your Name
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Joe Wright, Darkest Hour
Dropped: Alexander Payne, Downsizing
Actress
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep, The Post
Dropped: Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes, Kate Winslet, Wonder Wheel
Actor
Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger
Gary Oldman, The Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman Israel, Esq.
Dropped: Matt Damon, Downsizing, Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman
Supporting Actress
Hong Chau, Downsizing
Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Melissa Leo, Novitiate
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Dropped: Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Jason Mitchell, Mudbound
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri
Mark Rylance, Dunkirk
Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name
Original Screenplay
The Big Sick
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri
Dropped: Downsizing, Darkest Hour
Adapted Screenplay
The Beguiled
Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Mudbound
Stronger
Dropped: Last Flag Flying
Film Editing
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Get Out
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Dropped: Call Me By Your Name
Cinematography
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Wonder Wheel
Production Design
Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Dropped: The Greatest Showman
Costumes
Beauty and the Beast
Darkest Hour
The Greatest Showman
Murder on the Orient Express
Phantom Thread
Dropped: Wonderstruck
Makeup and Hairstyling
Darkest Hour
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
The Shape of Water
Score
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Post
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Sound Editing
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Detroit
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Sound Mixing
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Dropped: Detroit
Visual Effects
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War of the Planet of the Apes
Wonder Woman
Original Song
“Evermore” – Beauty and the Beast
“Remember Me” – Coco
“This is Me” – The Greatest Showman
“Mighty River” – Mudbound
“Jump” – Step
Animated Feature
The Big Bad Fox & Other Tales
The Breadwinner
Captain Underpants
Coco
The Lego Batman Movie
Documentary
Chasing Coral
City of Ghosts
Faces Places
Jane
Step
Foreign Language
BPM (France)
A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
First They Killed My Father (Cambodia)
Loveless (Russia)
The Square (Sweden)