So many shortlists have been dropped and so much has changed in the race (where did this Trumbo and The Big Short love come from?). This set of Oscar predictions, I really tried to divorce myself from the narrative and only kept movies/performers in that had at least 2 critics nominations or a significant nomination/win at a big show like the globes or SAG. SO enjoy the new Oscar predictions.

Best Picture
Spotlight
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Carol
Mad Max: Fury Road
Creed
Brooklyn
The Hateful Eight
The Big Short

Dropped: Inside Out, The Danish Girl

Best Director
Todd McCarthy, Spotlight
Ridley Scott, The Martian
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Lenny Abrahamson, Room

Dropped: Tom Hooper, The Danish Girl, Quentin Tarantino, The Hateful Eight

Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Matt Damon, The Martian
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Dropped: Michael Caine, Youth

Best Actress
Brie Larsen, Room
Soairse Ronan, Brooklyn
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Dropped: Carey Mulligan, Suffragette

Best Supporting Actress
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
Rooney Mara, Carol
Jane Fonda, Youth
Helen Mirren, Trumbo
Kristen Stewart, Clouds of Sils Maria

Dropped: Rachel McAdams, Spotlight, Elizabeth Banks, Love and Mercy

Best Supporting Actor
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Michael Keaton, Spotlight
Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation
Jacob Tremblay, Room

Dropped: Benicio del Toro, Sicario, Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight, Tom Hardy, The Revenant

Best Original Screenplay
Spotlight
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Sicario
Son of Saul

Dropped: Joy

Best Adapted Screenplay
Steve Jobs
Room
The Martian
The Big Short
Creed

Dropped: The Danish Girl, Brooklyn

Best Animated Feature
Inside Out
Anomalisa
Shaun the Sheep Movie
The Peanuts Movie
The Good Dinosaur

Dropped: The Little Prince, Home

Film Editing
Spotlight
Steve Jobs
The Martian
Mad Max: Fury Road
Room

Dropped: The Revenant, The Hateful Eight

Production Design
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Cinderella
Crimson Peak
The Martian
Bridge of Spies

Cinematography
The Revenant
Mad Max: Fury Road
Sicario
In the Heart of the Sea
The Hateful Eight

Dropped: The Martian

Costume Design
Cinderella
Brooklyn
Carol
Crimson Peak
In the Heart of the Sea

Makeup and Hairstyling
The Revenant
The Danish Girl
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Visual Effects
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
The Martian
Mad Max: Fury Road
In the Heart of the Sea
The Walk

Dropped: Jurassic World

Sound Editing
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
The Revenant
Creed

Dropped: In the Heart of the Sea

Sound Mixing
Sicario
The Martian
Mad Max: Fury Road
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
The Revenant

Dropped: In the Heart of the Sea, Avengers: Age of Ultron, Beasts of No Nation, Jurassic World

Original Score
The Hateful Eight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Sicario
Steve Jobs
Carol

Dropped: The Good Dinosaur, Spectre

Original Song
“See You Again” Furious 7
“Until It Happens to You” The Hunting Ground
“Simple Song #3” Youth
“Writing’s on the Wall” Spectre
“Who Else Can You Trust?” Spy

Dropped: “Cold One” Ricki and the Flash

Documentary Feature
The Look of Silence
Amy
The Hunting Ground
Listen to Me, Marlon
Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom

Dropped: Iris, The Wolfpack

Foreign Language Film
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Labryinth of Lies (Germany)
The Second Mother (Brazil)
The Club (Chile)
Mustang (France)

Dropped: The Assassin (Taiwan)