Oscar predicting is going to start to get serious (for some) soon and given the summer’s slate of movies, that is possibly a good thing. Anyways, here’s some analysis and predixs!

-First off, it seems that Suite francaise is completely off the table which means that The Imitation Game  will be the Weinstein pony which could mean a whole host of things. As currently constructed, idk what this film is going to body out of the way in its quest for nominations. Keira Knightley certainly looks to benefit from an opening in supporting actress, but will Cumberbatch be able to leap over the many folks sure to be in his way?

-Did you all see teaser trailers for Into the Woods and Interstellar? I’m not watching anything relating to Interstellar other than the movie to remain spoiler free but I watched the one for Into the Woods and though I have been fooled by Rob Marshall before, it looked really great. And those photos! For now it’s bumping out films like Inherent Vice and taking the spot of Suite francaise.

-In other news, Boyhood apparently has over 40 perfect scores on Metacritic which is astounding, given that critics tend to be loathe to agree about anything. It certainly has the quality to do well come awards time, but it is also just August and bigger movies are coming down the pike.

Best Picture

  1. Foxcatcher
  2. Unbroken
  3. Interstellar
  4. Gone Girl
  5. Fury
  6. Boyhood
  7. Birdman
  8. Into the Woods
  9. Selma

Dropped: Mr. Turner

Best Director

  1. Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher
  2. Angelina Jolie, Unbroken
  3. David Fincher, Gone Girl
  4. Christopher Nolan, Interstellar
  5. Alejandro Gonzales Inarritu, Birdman

Best Actor

  1. Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
  2. Michael Keaton, Birdman
  3. Timothy Spall, Mr. Turner
  4. Brad Pitt, Fury
  5. David Oyelowo, Selma

Best Actress

  1. Amy Adams, Big Eyes
  2. Meryl Streep, Into the Woods
  3. Reese Witherspoon, Wild
  4. Rosemund Pike, Gone Girl
  5. Hilary Swank, The Homesman

Dropped: Michelle Williams, Suite française

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Emily Blunt, Into the Woods
  2. Anna Kendrick, Into the Woods
  3. Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
  4. Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year
  5. Kiera Knightley, The Imitation Game

Dropped: Rosemund Pike (moved to lead)

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
  2. J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
  3. Tom Wilkinson, Selma
  4. Logan Lerman, Fury
  5. Takamasa Ishihara, Unbroken

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Birdman
  2. Boyhood
  3. Mr. Turner
  4. Interstellar
  5. Selma

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Foxcatcher
  2. Unbroken
  3. Gone Girl
  4. Inherent Vice
  5. Wild

Best Animated Feature

  1. The Lego Movie
  2. The Boxtrolls
  3. How to Train Your Dragon 2
  4. Big Hero 6
  5. The Book of Life

Film Editing

  1. Interstellar
  2. Unbroken
  3. Foxcatcher
  4. Fury
  5. Gone Girl

Production Design

  1. Into the Woods
  2. Interstellar
  3. Unbroken
  4. Fury
  5. The Imitation Game

Dropped: Maleficent, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Cinematography

  1. Unbroken
  2. Interstellar
  3. Foxcatcher
  4. Fury
  5. Into the Woods

Dropped: Inherent Vice

Costume Design

  1. Into the Woods
  2. Mr. Turner
  3. Maleficent
  4. Big Eyes
  5. Selma

Dropped: Suite française

Makeup and Hairstyling

  1. Into the Woods
  2. Foxcatcher
  3. Unbroken

Visual Effects

  1. Interstellar
  2. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
  3. Godzilla
  4. Marvel’s The Guardians of the Galaxy
  5. Edge of Tomorrow

Dropped: Captain America: The Winter Soldier

Sound Editing

  1. Interstellar
  2. Godzilla
  3. Into the Woods
  4. Fury
  5. Unbroken

Sound Mixing

  1. Interstellar
  2. Into the Woods
  3. Fury
  4. Godzilla
  5. Unbroken

Original Score

  1. Unbroken
  2. Interstellar
  3. Big Eyes
  4. Fury
  5. Gone Girl

Original Song

  1. Into the Woods
  2. The Lego Movie
  3. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
  4. Big Hero 6