New Oscar predictions, who dis?

Billy Lynn had it’s premiere at NYFF and the reviews were…mixed at best. However, I find it hard to count an Ang Lee film out of the race, especially given how most people felt about Life of Pi, which wound up with a ton of Oscars, including one for Ang Lee himself. One of the many issues folks brought up with Billy Lynn was that it might not play well on screeners, but the same was said of Life of Pi. Basically, I’m gonna continue predicting it till it’s not a thing anymore.

I want to fight Universal for not campaigning “No Dames” in Original Song. That’s a mess.

Also, Viola is going supporting for Sag so I moved her.

Best Picture
20th Century Women
Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Fences
Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Loving
Moonlight
Silence

Dropped: Sully

Best Director
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Ang Lee, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Martin Scorcese, Silence
Dennis Villeneuve, Arrival

Best Actor
Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Dev Patel, Lion
Denzel Washington, Fences

Best Actress
Amy Adams, Arrival
Annette Benning, 20th Century Women
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomi Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Kristen Stewart, Billy’s Long Halftime Walk
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Dropped: Lupita Nyong’o, Queen of Katwe

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Stephen Henderson, Fences
Steve Martin, Billy’s Long Halftime Walk
Liam Neeson, Silence
Trevante Rhodes, Moonlight

Dropped: Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Best Original Screenplay
Hell or High Water
Jackie
La La Land
Manchester By the Sea
Moonlight

Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Fences
Lion
Silence

Best Animated Feature
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
Sing
Trolls
Zootopia

Film Editing
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Jackie
La La Land
Moonlight
Silence

Dropped: Passengers

Production Design
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
La La Land
Passengers
Silence

Dropped: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Cinematography
Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Jackie
La La Land
Nocturnal Animals

Dropped: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Costume Design
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Fences
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie
Silence

Dropped: Nocturnal Animals

Makeup and Hairstyling
Jackie
Silence
Star Trek Beyond

Dropped: The VVitch

Visual Effects
Arrival
Billy’s Long Half Time Walk
Captain America: Civil War
Doctor Strange
The Jungle Book

Sound Editing
Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Hacksaw Ridge
Passengers
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Dropped: Magnificent Seven

Sound Mixing
Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
La La Land
Passengers
Silence

Dropped: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Original Score
Arrival
Hell or High Water
Loving
Jackie
Nocturnal Animals

Dropped: Moana, La La Land

Original Song
La La Land
La La Land
Moana
Sausage Party
Star Trek Beyond

Dropped: Hail, Caesar!

Documentary Feature
The 13th
Gleason
Into the Inferno
Weiner
Zero Days

Dropped: Holy Hell

Foreign Language Film
Between Sea and Land (Colombia)
Julieta (Spain)
Neruda (Chile)
The Salesman (Iran)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)