Man, I had a really good break from making these. So good and long, I forgot just how difficult and time consuming it is to try an guesstimate what 7,000 or so people are going to want to award in a couple of months. Anyways, despite me not having the highest of esteem for several of the bigger contenders in my Oscar predictions, this year looks like a wonderfully fascinating Oscar race. THere’s lots of familiar faces and new faces to make this year interesting. Pre-AFI Fest, here’s what seems to be tracking to be nominated on movie’s holy night.
Best Picture:
1917
The Irishman
Joker
Jojo Rabbit
Little Women
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite
The Two Popes
If we get 10: Ford v. Ferrari, The Farewell are next up
Director:
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Sam Mendes, 1917
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Taika Watiti, Jojo Rabbit
Lead Actor:
Antonio Banderas, Pain & Glory
Leonardo Dicaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Robert De Niro, The Irishman
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Lead Actress:
Scarlett Johanssen, Marriage Story
Lupita Nyong’o, Us
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Renee Zellweger, Judy
Supporting Actor:
Sterling K. Brown, Waves
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Supporting Actress:
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Adapted Screenplay:
Hustlers
The Irishman
Joker
Jojo Rabbit
The Two Popes
Original Screenplay:
1917
The Farewell
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite
Animated Feature:
Frozen 2
How to Train Your Dragon
Toy Story 4
Best Documentary Feature:
American Factory
Apollo 11
The Biggest Little Farm
The Cave
Toni Morrison: The Pieces I Am
Best Foreign Language Film:
Atlantics
Les Miserables
Pain & Glory
Parasite
And Then We Danced
Cinematography:
1917
Ad Astra
The Irishman
Joker
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Film Editing:
Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Production Design:
1917
Cats
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Costume Design:
Aladdin
Dolemite is My Name
The Irishman
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Rocketman
Sound Editing:
1917
Ad Astra
Avengers: Endgame
Ford v Ferrari
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Sound Mixing:
1917
Avengers: Endgame
Ford v Ferrari
Rocketman
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Original Score:
Ad Astra
Joker
Jojo Rabbit
Little Women
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Original Song:
Aladdin
Cats
Frozen 2
The Lion King
Rocketman
Makeup and Hair:
Avengers: Endgame
Bombshell
The Irishman
Judy
Rocketman
Visual Effects:
Ad Astra
Avengers: Endgame
Detective Pikachu
The Irishman
The Lion King