I don’t even feel like writing a long intro here. These are my guesses as to what the Academy will choose to nominate.

Best Picture:
1917
Ford v. Ferrari
The Irishman
Joker
Jojo Rabbit
Little Women
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

If we get 10: The Two Popes

Director:
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Sam Mendes, 1917
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Taika Watiti, Jojo Rabbit

Lead Actor:
Antonio Banderas, Pain & Glory
Leonardo Dicaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Robert De Niro, The Irishman
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

Lead Actress:
Awkwafina, The Farewell
Scarlett Johanssen, Marriage Story
Lupita Nyong’o, Us
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Renee Zellweger, Judy

Supporting Actor:
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Supporting Actress:
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Scarlett Johanssen, Jojo Rabbit
Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Adapted Screenplay:
The Irishman
Joker
Jojo Rabbit
Little Women
The Two Popes

Original Screenplay:
1917
The Farewell
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

Animated Feature:
Frozen 2
How to Train Your Dragon
Missing Link
Toy Story 4

Best Documentary Feature:
American Factory
Apollo 11
The Cave
For Sama
Honeyland

International Film:
Atlantics
Corpus Christi
Les Miserables
Pain & Glory
Parasite

Cinematography:
1917
Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Joker
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Film Editing:
Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Production Design:
1917
Joker
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Costume Design:
Aladdin
Dolemite is My Name
The Irishman
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Rocketman

Sound Editing:
1917
Ad Astra
Avengers: Endgame
Ford v Ferrari
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Sound Mixing:
1917
Avengers: Endgame
Ford v Ferrari
Rocketman
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Original Score:
1917
Joker
Jojo Rabbit
Little Women
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Original Song:
Aladdin
Frozen 2
The Lion King
Rocketman
Wild Rose

Makeup and Hair:
1917
The Irishman
Joker
Judy
Rocketman

Visual Effects:
1917
Alita: Battle Angel
Avengers: Endgame
The Irishman
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker