Y’all…like what in the world has happened to the Oscar race? I mean everything seemed so clear just a week ago and now it’s like the world has gone to hell. I feel like these movies studios came and said fuck your couch and I couldn’t do anything about it. So with all this, I thought I #minuswell update my Oscar predictions. Check them out.

Moving Up

-Captain Phillips, after a rapturous reception at NYFF. I had this earlier in the year so I’m glad to see it back in contention.

-Sandra Bullock. I am seeing Gravity this weekend and although I still don’t believe a scifi performance can get in, there aren’t many other actresses in contention so…she’s in by default.

-Nebraska is REALLY playing the room out here on the West Coast, so I’m thinking something must be in the water there.

Moving Down or Out

-The Wolf of Wall Street. I’m not ready to give up on this just yet but the fact that the Scorcese and Paramount are so far apart on the desired running time worries me tremendously.

-Foxcatcher, which have the unmitigated gall to drop a fantastic trailer then be like JK this is coming out in 2014! So while it looks like I was right to have Carell in the lineup, it has to vacate the premises.

-Films moving out of Best Picture: Fruitvale Station, August:Osage County, Rush

Miscellaneous Thoughts

-If you listened to the latest Awards Circuit Power Hour, you’ll here a discussion on the supporting actor category. Given that this year is starting to look a bit shaky, I find it tough to think that Fassy won’t win that Oscar, especially if 12 Years a Slave gets into sweep mode.

-Cinematography is looking exciting again but the Animated field is still dreadful.

VIEW FULL PREDICTIONS HERE