Shakeup time! Naturally, when you do Oscar predictions, and you don’t really care, you end up having to do some dramatic shakeups once the big awards voting bodies come in with their nominations. Critics Choice had their awards so damn early this year, I honestly don’t know if they had any impact on these Oscar predictions. But the Golden Globes and SAG Awards shared their nominations and now its time to look into the tea leaves and figure out what will be nominated.
Quick Points
-Hacksaw Ridge enters into many categories but I am refusing to put Gibson in director. I have to hold out on something.
-Moonlight and Loving both being declared Adapted by the Academy is a bit of a shocker, but honestly, should help Moonlight win
-Meryl Streep keeps getting nominated which means I begrudgingly knocked Benning out of the Oscar lineup. Sorry Annette.
-Kubo doesn’t have a chance to win VFX but I’m putting here anyways!
-Foreign Language Film…fix it Jesus
Best Picture
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Silence
Dropped: Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk, 20th Century Women
Best Director
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Martin Scorcese, Silence
Dennis Villeneuve, Arrival
Dropped: Ang Lee, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk, Denzel Washington, Fences
Best Actor
Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences
Dropped: Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Best Actress
Amy Adams, Arrival
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
Dropped: Annette Benning, 20th Century Women
Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomi Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
Dropped: Lupita Nyong’o, Queen of Katwe, Kristen Stewart, Billy’s Long Halftime Walk
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Issey Ogata, Silence
Dev Patel, Lion
Dropped: Peter Sarsgaard, Jackie, Steve Martin, Billy’s Long Halftime Walk, Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals, Stephen Henderson, Fences
Best Original Screenplay
Hell or High Water
Jackie
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester By the Sea
Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival
Fences
Lion
Moonlight
Silence
Dropped: Hidden Figures, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Best Animated Feature
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia
Dropped: Trolls, Sing
Film Editing
Arrival
Jackie
La La Land
Moonlight
Silence
Dropped: Passengers, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Production Design
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Jackie
Passengers
Silence
Dropped: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Cinematography
Arrival
Jackie
La La Land
Moonlight
Silence
Dropped: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk, Nocturnal Animals
Costume Design
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Fences
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie
Silence
Dropped: Nocturnal Animals
Makeup and Hairstyling
Hacksaw Ridge
Silence
Star Trek Beyond
Dropped: The VVitch
Visual Effects
Arrival
Captain America: Civil War
Doctor Strange
The Jungle Book
Kubo and the Two Strings
Dropped: Billy’s Long Half Time Walk, Passengers
Sound Editing
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
Passengers
Patriot’s Day
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Dropped: Magnificent Seven, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Sound Mixing
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Patriot’s Day
Silence
Dropped: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk, Passengers
Original Score
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Jackie
Nocturnal Animals
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Dropped: Moana, Arrival
Original Song
“Start a Fire” – La La Land
“City of Stars” – La La Land
“How Far I’ll Go” – Moana
“The Great Beyond” – Sausage Party
“Sledgehammer” – Star Trek Beyond
Dropped: Hail, Caesar!
Documentary Feature
The 13th
The Eagle Huntress
Gleason
I’m Not Your Negro
O.J.: Made in America
Dropped: Before the Flood
Foreign Language Film
It’s Only the End of the World (Canada)
Land of Mine (Denmark)
My Life as Zucchini (Switzerland)
The Salesman (Iran)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)
Dropped: Neruda (Chile), Julieta (Spain), Between Sea and Land (Colombia)